Implement binning and state calculation
parent
889bcf68ca
commit
169dd8278d
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@ -11,61 +11,100 @@ class QLearner(object):
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self.verbose = verbose
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self.impact = impact
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self.commission = commission
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self.testing = testing
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self.testing = testing # Decides which type of order df to return.
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self.indicators = ['macd_diff', 'rsi', 'price_sma_8']
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self.n_bins = 5
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self.bins = {}
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self.num_states = self.get_num_states()
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self.num_actions = 3 # buy, sell, hold
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if verbose:
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print(f"{self.num_states=}")
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def _get_volume(self):
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"""For reference."""
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volume_all = ut.get_data(syms, dates, colname="Volume")
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volume = volume_all[syms] # only portfolio symbols
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# volume_SPY = volume_all['SPY'] # only SPY, for comparison later
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def row_to_state(self, holding, df_row):
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"""Transforms a row into a state value."""
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assert(holding in [-1000, 0, 1000])
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holding = (holding + 1000) // 1000
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if self.verbose:
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print(volume)
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print(f"{holding=}")
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remaining_states = self.num_states
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state = holding * (remaining_states // 3)
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remaining_states //= 3
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def _add_indicators(self, df, symbol):
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for indicator in self.indicators:
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value = df_row[indicator]
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bin_n = self.indicator_value_to_bin(indicator, value)
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interval = remaining_states // self.n_bins
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state += bin_n * interval
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if self.verbose:
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print(f"{value=} {bin_n=} {interval=} {state=}")
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remaining_states //= self.n_bins
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return state
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def indicator_value_to_bin(self, indicator, value):
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for i, upper_bound in enumerate(self.bins[indicator]):
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if value < upper_bound:
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return i
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return i + 1
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def add_indicators(self, df, symbol):
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"""Add indicators for learning to DataFrame."""
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df.drop(columns=["SPY"], inplace=True)
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for indicator in self.indicators:
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if indicator == "macd_diff":
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indicators.macd(df, symbol)
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df.drop(columns=["macd", "macd_signal"], inplace=True)
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elif indicator == "rsi":
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indicators.rsi(df, symbol)
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indicators.price_sma(df, symbol, [8])
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indicators.price_delta(df, symbol, 3)
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elif indicator.startswith("price_sma_"):
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period = int(indicator.replace("price_sma_", ""))
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indicators.price_sma(df, symbol, [period])
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df.drop(columns=["SPY", symbol], inplace=True)
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df.dropna(inplace=True)
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def addEvidence(self, symbol="IBM",
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sd=dt.datetime(2008, 1, 1),
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ed=dt.datetime(2009, 1, 1),
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sv=10000):
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def bin_indicators(self, df):
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"""Create bins for indicators."""
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for indicator in self.indicators:
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ser, bins = pd.qcut(df[indicator], self.n_bins, retbins=True)
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self.bins[indicator] = bins[1:self.n_bins]
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self.indicators = ['macd_diff', 'rsi', 'price_sma_8']
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def get_num_states(self):
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"""Return the total num of states."""
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num_states = 3 # Three states holding (1000, 0, -1000)
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for _ in self.indicators:
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num_states *= self.n_bins
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return num_states
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def update_holding(self, action, holding):
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if action == 0: # buy
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return 1000
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if holding == 0 or holding == -1000:
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return 1000
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elif action == 1: # sell
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return -1000
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elif action == 2: # hold
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return 0
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raise Exception()
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def addEvidence(self, symbol="IBM", sd=dt.datetime(2008, 1, 1), ed=dt.datetime(2009, 1, 1), sv=10000):
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df = util.get_data([symbol], pd.date_range(sd, ed))
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self._add_indicators(df, symbol)
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self.add_indicators(df, symbol)
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self.bin_indicators(df)
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self.learner = Learner(self.num_states, self.num_actions)
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holding = 0
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s = self.row_to_state(holding, df.iloc[0])
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a = self.learner.querysetstate(state)
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print(f"{action=}")
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for row in df.iloc[1:].itertuples(index=False):
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holding = update_holding(a, holding)
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print(row)
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self.learner = Learner()
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# self.learner.query(data_x, y.to_numpy())
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# data_x = df[self.indicators].to_numpy()
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def strat(self, data_y, orders):
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self.holding = 0
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def strat(row):
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y = int(data_y.loc[row.name][0])
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shares = 0
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if self.holding == 0 and y == 1:
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shares = 1000
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elif self.holding == -1000 and y == 1:
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shares = 2000
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elif self.holding == 0 and y == -1:
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shares = -1000
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elif self.holding == 1000 and y == -1:
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shares = -2000
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self.holding += shares
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return shares
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orders["Shares"] = orders.apply(strat, axis=1)
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def testPolicy(self, symbol="IBM",
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sd=dt.datetime(2009, 1, 1),
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ed=dt.datetime(2010, 1, 1),
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sv=10000):
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def testPolicy(self, symbol="IBM", sd=dt.datetime(2009, 1, 1), ed=dt.datetime(2010, 1, 1), sv=10000):
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df = util.get_data([symbol], pd.date_range(sd, ed))
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self._add_indicators(df, symbol)
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# data_x = df[self.indicators].to_numpy()
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@ -81,4 +120,3 @@ class QLearner(object):
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return orders
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else:
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return orders[["Shares"]]
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@ -147,13 +147,15 @@ def experiment1(create_report=False):
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# visualize_correlations(symbol, df)
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# plot_indicators(symbol, df)
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bs = BenchmarkStrategy()
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orders = bs.testPolicy(symbol, sd_out, ed_out, sv)
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df["Benchmark"] = marketsim.compute_portvals(orders, sv)
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df["Orders Benchmark"] = orders["Shares"]
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# bs = BenchmarkStrategy()
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# orders = bs.testPolicy(symbol, sd_out, ed_out, sv)
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# df["Benchmark"] = marketsim.compute_portvals(orders, sv)
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# df["Orders Benchmark"] = orders["Shares"]
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ql = QLearner(testing=True)
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ql = QLearner(testing=True, verbose=True)
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ql.addEvidence(symbol, sd, ed, sv)
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return
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orders = ql.testPolicy(symbol, sd_out, ed_out, sv)
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df["QL"] = marketsim.compute_portvals(orders, sv)
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df["Orders QL"] = orders["Shares"]
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@ -168,11 +170,6 @@ def experiment1(create_report=False):
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m = MultiCursor(fig.canvas, ax, color='r', lw=0.5)
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plt.show()
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# For debugging the classification learner:
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# df["y_train"] = sl.addEvidence(symbol, sd, ed, sv)
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# df["y_query"] = sl.testPolicy(symbol, sd, ed, sv)
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# df[["y_train", "y_query"]].plot(ax=ax[1])
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if __name__ == "__main__":
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experiment1()
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